“Iskanders” to appear in Belarus!

Геополитика и безопасность

Despite the absence of the official information about the achieved agreements in the sphere of the military and technological cooperation between the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation at the closed session of the presidents A.Lukashenko and V .Putin in the town of Zaslavl near Minsk, in the light of the recent events connected with the construction of the American anti-missile defence system in Europe (EuroAMD), it is being predicted with a high level of probability that tactical missile ‘‘Iskander” systems will appear in Belarus.

A string of facts testifies to this conclusion.

Firstly, on the eve of Russia’s President’s arrival the Belarusian and Russian mass media had announced the probable topics for negotiations of the leaders of the two countries, including the issues of development of bilateral cooperation in the sphere of defence, it being known that the military and technological subject matter was at top of the agenda.

Of course, it were the results (or their absence, taking into consideration the interests of the Russian side) of the international conference on anti-missile defence issues m Moscow 3-4 May and the NATO summit in Chicago 19-20 May. The USA and its allies nave remained of the same opinion in terms of further construction of the anti-missile defence system in Europe (the end of its first stage has been announced), despite the statements of the Russian Federation on the threat of Russian intercontinental ballistic missiles interception by prospective antimissiles SM-3 that are planned to be deployed in Romania and Poland since 201 5.

Secondly, in one of his first decrees “On the measures of the implementation of the Russian Federation foreign-policy course” alter the assumption of Russia’s President s office V.Putin has obliged “to continue to actively promote the cooperation with the Republic of Belarus within the Allied Stale framework”.

Thereby, including the emergence of the new challenges and threats in the western direction, the operating effectiveness enhancement of the joint regional force (JRF) through the re-equipment with modern armaments of both Russian and Belarusian formations and military units will become the major aspect of the development of the military and technological cooperation between Belarus and Russia, it is possible that air defence systems S-400, fighters MiG-35, Su-30, trainer/light attack aircraft lak-130 and tactical missile systems “Iskander-E” may be handed over to Belarus at a reduced price. By the way, a whole Su-30 squadron (18 aircraft) is currently situated at the aircraft repair factory in the city of Baranovichy. The Belarusian side is also showing interest in the purchase of the fighters returned byIndia.

True, the export version of the “Iskander” system has a 1.8 times shorter range compared to the original “Iskander-M” (280 vs500 km) that is produced by Russia for its own purposes, but the Belarusian Ministry of Defence is sure that in case of escalation of the situation (at a threatened period) one of the Russian brigades armed with the long-range “Iskander-M”, the formation of which in the Russian Federation is being at the final stage, can be deployed at the territory of Belarus.

Most likely, the concerned unit is the 26th missile brigade of the Western Military District in Luga, which at the end of 2011 was the first to be equipped with

“Iskander-M” systems (SS-26 according to NATO terminology). And it can be included into the JRF combat structure. We would like to remind you that this version can be equipped with nuclear warheads (with a power of 5-50 kiloton).

Thirdly, for several years the Belarusian military department has been positioning the re-equipment of the missile brigade (Tsel, Osipovichy) with “Iskander-E” systems, which is stipulated by the 2015 State Armament Program. One should not forget that although “Tochka-U” is an effective missile system for its class, but it has been in service with the Belarusian armed forces for more that 20 years. One more fact testifying to such a scenario is that the deployment of a Russian military unit armed with the “Iskander-M” system at theterritoryofBelarusat peacetime is of low probability so far. On the one hand, it is costly, on the other hand, it will require serious corrections to the existing international agreements.

The Belarusian military department has not yet commented on the possible ways for “Iskanders” to appear at theterritoryofBelarusand if they could be “Iskander-M” systems. Most likely, such an agreement has been achieved at the two presidents’ talks.

Any case, V.Putin’s visit will spark off the implementation of the top-priority measures to strengthen the defence capability of bothBelarusand the Allied State in general. On the other hand, theUSAand NATO have once again received an unambiguous message about the probable postponement of a decision on the tactical missile system “Iskander-M” deployment in Kaliningrad Region andKrasnodarTerritory. The implementation of the scheduled EuroAMD construction will show if it has been taken into account byWashingtonandBrussels.

Despite the absence of the official information about the achieved agreements in the sphere of the military and technological cooperation between the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation at the closed session of the presidents A.Lukashenko and V .Putin in the town of Zaslavl near Minsk, in the light of the recent events connected with the construction of the American anti-missile defence system in Europe (EuroAMD), it is being predicted with a high level of probability that tactical missile ‘‘Iskander” systems will appear in Belarus.

A string of facts testifies to this conclusion.

Firstly, on the eve of Russia’s President’s arrival the Belarusian and Russian mass media had announced the probable topics for negotiations of the leaders of the two countries, including the issues of development of bilateral cooperation in the sphere of defence, it being known that the military and technological subject matter was at top of the agenda.

Of course, it were the results (or their absence, taking into consideration the interests of the Russian side) of the international conference on anti-missile defence issues m Moscow 3-4 May and the NATO summit in Chicago 19-20 May. The USA and its allies nave remained of the same opinion in terms of further construction of the anti-missile defence system in Europe (the end of its first stage has been announced), despite the statements of the Russian Federation on the threat of Russian intercontinental ballistic missiles interception by prospective antimissiles SM-3 that are planned to be deployed in Romania and Poland since 201 5.

Secondly, in one of his first decrees “On the measures of the implementation of the Russian Federation foreign-policy course” alter the assumption of Russia’s President s office V.Putin has obliged “to continue to actively promote the cooperation with the Republic of Belarus within the Allied Stale framework”.

Thereby, including the emergence of the new challenges and threats in the western direction, the operating effectiveness enhancement of the joint regional force (JRF) through the re-equipment with modern armaments of both Russian and Belarusian formations and military units will become the major aspect of the development of the military and technological cooperation between Belarus and Russia, it is possible that air defence systems S-400, fighters MiG-35, Su-30, trainer/light attack aircraft lak-130 and tactical missile systems “Iskander-E” may be handed over to Belarus at a reduced price. By the way, a whole Su-30 squadron (18 aircraft) is currently situated at the aircraft repair factory in the city of Baranovichy. The Belarusian side is also showing interest in the purchase of the fighters returned byIndia.

True, the export version of the “Iskander” system has a 1.8 times shorter range compared to the original “Iskander-M” (280 vs500 km) that is produced by Russia for its own purposes, but the Belarusian Ministry of Defence is sure that in case of escalation of the situation (at a threatened period) one of the Russian brigades armed with the long-range “Iskander-M”, the formation of which in the Russian Federation is being at the final stage, can be deployed at the territory of Belarus.

Most likely, the concerned unit is the 26th missile brigade of the Western Military District in Luga, which at the end of 2011 was the first to be equipped with

“Iskander-M” systems (SS-26 according to NATO terminology). And it can be included into the JRF combat structure. We would like to remind you that this version can be equipped with nuclear warheads (with a power of 5-50 kiloton).

Thirdly, for several years the Belarusian military department has been positioning the re-equipment of the missile brigade (Tsel, Osipovichy) with “Iskander-E” systems, which is stipulated by the 2015 State Armament Program. One should not forget that although “Tochka-U” is an effective missile system for its class, but it has been in service with the Belarusian armed forces for more that 20 years. One more fact testifying to such a scenario is that the deployment of a Russian military unit armed with the “Iskander-M” system at theterritoryofBelarusat peacetime is of low probability so far. On the one hand, it is costly, on the other hand, it will require serious corrections to the existing international agreements.

The Belarusian military department has not yet commented on the possible ways for “Iskanders” to appear at theterritoryofBelarusand if they could be “Iskander-M” systems. Most likely, such an agreement has been achieved at the two presidents’ talks.

Any case, V.Putin’s visit will spark off the implementation of the top-priority measures to strengthen the defence capability of bothBelarusand the Allied State in general. On the other hand, theUSAand NATO have once again received an unambiguous message about the probable postponement of a decision on the tactical missile system “Iskander-M” deployment in Kaliningrad Region andKrasnodarTerritory. The implementation of the scheduled EuroAMD construction will show if it has been taken into account byWashingtonandBrussels.

Despite the absence of the official information about the achieved agreements in the sphere of the military and technological cooperation between the Republic of Belarus and the Russian Federation at the closed session of the presidents A.Lukashenko and V .Putin in the town of Zaslavl near Minsk, in the light of the recent events connected with the construction of the American anti-missile defence system in Europe (EuroAMD), it is being predicted with a high level of probability that tactical missile ‘‘Iskander” systems will appear in Belarus.

A string of facts testifies to this conclusion.

Firstly, on the eve of Russia’s President’s arrival the Belarusian and Russian mass media had announced the probable topics for negotiations of the leaders of the two countries, including the issues of development of bilateral cooperation in the sphere of defence, it being known that the military and technological subject matter was at top of the agenda.

Of course, it were the results (or their absence, taking into consideration the interests of the Russian side) of the international conference on anti-missile defence issues m Moscow 3-4 May and the NATO summit in Chicago 19-20 May. The USA and its allies nave remained of the same opinion in terms of further construction of the anti-missile defence system in Europe (the end of its first stage has been announced), despite the statements of the Russian Federation on the threat of Russian intercontinental ballistic missiles interception by prospective antimissiles SM-3 that are planned to be deployed in Romania and Poland since 201 5.

Secondly, in one of his first decrees “On the measures of the implementation of the Russian Federation foreign-policy course” alter the assumption of Russia’s President s office V.Putin has obliged “to continue to actively promote the cooperation with the Republic of Belarus within the Allied Stale framework”.

Thereby, including the emergence of the new challenges and threats in the western direction, the operating effectiveness enhancement of the joint regional force (JRF) through the re-equipment with modern armaments of both Russian and Belarusian formations and military units will become the major aspect of the development of the military and technological cooperation between Belarus and Russia, it is possible that air defence systems S-400, fighters MiG-35, Su-30, trainer/light attack aircraft lak-130 and tactical missile systems “Iskander-E” may be handed over to Belarus at a reduced price. By the way, a whole Su-30 squadron (18 aircraft) is currently situated at the aircraft repair factory in the city of Baranovichy. The Belarusian side is also showing interest in the purchase of the fighters returned byIndia.

True, the export version of the “Iskander” system has a 1.8 times shorter range compared to the original “Iskander-M” (280 vs500 km) that is produced by Russia for its own purposes, but the Belarusian Ministry of Defence is sure that in case of escalation of the situation (at a threatened period) one of the Russian brigades armed with the long-range “Iskander-M”, the formation of which in the Russian Federation is being at the final stage, can be deployed at the territory of Belarus.

Most likely, the concerned unit is the 26th missile brigade of the Western Military District in Luga, which at the end of 2011 was the first to be equipped with

“Iskander-M” systems (SS-26 according to NATO terminology). And it can be included into the JRF combat structure. We would like to remind you that this version can be equipped with nuclear warheads (with a power of 5-50 kiloton).

Thirdly, for several years the Belarusian military department has been positioning the re-equipment of the missile brigade (Tsel, Osipovichy) with “Iskander-E” systems, which is stipulated by the 2015 State Armament Program. One should not forget that although “Tochka-U” is an effective missile system for its class, but it has been in service with the Belarusian armed forces for more that 20 years. One more fact testifying to such a scenario is that the deployment of a Russian military unit armed with the “Iskander-M” system at theterritoryofBelarusat peacetime is of low probability so far. On the one hand, it is costly, on the other hand, it will require serious corrections to the existing international agreements.

The Belarusian military department has not yet commented on the possible ways for “Iskanders” to appear at theterritoryofBelarusand if they could be “Iskander-M” systems. Most likely, such an agreement has been achieved at the two presidents’ talks.

Any case, V.Putin’s visit will spark off the implementation of the top-priority measures to strengthen the defence capability of bothBelarusand the Allied State in general. On the other hand, theUSAand NATO have once again received an unambiguous message about the probable postponement of a decision on the tactical missile system “Iskander-M” deployment in Kaliningrad Region andKrasnodarTerritory. The implementation of the scheduled EuroAMD construction will show if it has been taken into account byWashingtonandBrussels.

Добавить комментарий

Ваш адрес email не будет опубликован. Обязательные поля помечены *

Этот сайт использует Akismet для борьбы со спамом. Узнайте, как обрабатываются ваши данные комментариев.